Santos vs Gremio: result 4-1 and analysis
CONMEBOL LibertadoresQuarter-finalsKick-off on December 16, 2020 at 10:15 PM (UTC)Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos, São Paulo
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What was the result of Santos vs Gremio?
Santos won 4-1 on December 16, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 1′Kaio JorgeSantos
- 16′MarinhoSantos
- 54′Kaio JorgeSantos
- 81′ThacianoGremio
- 83′Laércio SoldáSantos
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santos have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Gremio have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2020 | Flamengo(away) | 1-4 | Serie A |
| Dec 9, 2020 | Gremio(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Dec 5, 2020 | Palmeiras(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Dec 1, 2020 | LDU de Quito(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Nov 28, 2020 | Sport Recife(home) | 4-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2020 | Goias(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Dec 9, 2020 | Santos(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Dec 6, 2020 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 4-0 | Serie A |
| Dec 4, 2020 | Club Guarani(home) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Nov 30, 2020 | Goias(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Santos win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2020 | Gremio 1-1 Santos | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Santos 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Santos 0-3 Gremio | Serie A |
| Apr 28, 2019 | Gremio 1-2 Santos | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2018 | Santos 0-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 6, 2018 | Gremio 5-1 Santos | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Santos score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.7 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Gremio | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy