Sao Joao del Rei vs Paracatu: prediction and stats
Mineiro - 3Regular Season - 4Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Sao Joao del Rei the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Paracatu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sao Joao del Rei vs Paracatu?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Sao Joao del Rei have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Paracatu have 3, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Novo Esporte Clube(home) | 0-0 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Tupi(away) | 2-1 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Coimbra(away) | 1-2 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | BOA(home) | 1-1 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Essube(away) | 2-0 | Mineiro - 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sao Joao del Rei vs Paracatu?
- The Footlab model makes Sao Joao del Rei the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Paracatu.
- Where and when is Sao Joao del Rei vs Paracatu played?
- Sao Joao del Rei vs Paracatu is played on October 9, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the Mineiro - 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.