Nova Lavras vs Santarritense: prediction and stats
Mineiro - 3Regular Season - 4Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Nova Lavras the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Santarritense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nova Lavras vs Santarritense?
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nova Lavras vs Santarritense?
- The Footlab model makes Nova Lavras the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Santarritense.
- Where and when is Nova Lavras vs Santarritense played?
- Nova Lavras vs Santarritense is played on October 10, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC), in the Mineiro - 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.