Sao Paulo vs Bahia: result 3-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 14Kick-off on August 5, 2011 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), São Paulo, São Paulo
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What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Bahia?
Sao Paulo won 3-0 on August 5, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 28′Rogério Mücke CeniSao Paulo (pen.)
- 44′Dagoberto PelentierSao Paulo
- 50′Lucas MouraSao Paulo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sao Paulo have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Bahia have 3, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2011 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 28, 2011 | Coritiba(away) | 4-3 | Serie A |
| Jul 23, 2011 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2011 | Internacional(away) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 9, 2011 | Cruzeiro(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2011 | Figueirense(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 28, 2011 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 24, 2011 | Coritiba(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2011 | Cruzeiro(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 10, 2011 | Botafogo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Sao Paulo score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.2 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Bahia | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/13 | 5/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sao Paulo sit 13th in Serie A (27 points from 22 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (37 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 27 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy