Sao Paulo vs Bolívar: result 3-1 and analysis
CONMEBOL SudamericanaRound of 16Kick-off on August 19, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), São Paulo, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Bolívar?
Sao Paulo won 3-1 on August 19, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 18′LucianoSao Paulo
- 61′D. AsprillaBolívar
- 68′J. CalleriSao Paulo (pen.)
- 76′SabinoSao Paulo
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Sao Paulo win at 66%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-0. Actual score: 3-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sao Paulo have 1 win, 8 draws and 6 defeats; Bolívar have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Coritiba(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bolívar(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gremio(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Flamengo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sao Paulo(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aurora(away) | 4-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Always Ready(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Sao Paulo wins, 1 draw, 0 Bolívar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bolívar 1-1 Sao Paulo | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
How many goals should we expect?
Sao Paulo score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bolívar score 1.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
| Bolívar | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
A question about Sao Paulo vs Bolívar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy