Bolívar vs Sao Paulo: result 1-1 and analysis
CONMEBOL SudamericanaRound of 16Kick-off on August 12, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz
Full time
What was the result of Bolívar vs Sao Paulo?
Bolívar and Sao Paulo drew 1-1 on August 12, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 23′R. ArboledaSao Paulo
- 63′C. MelgarBolívar
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Bolívar win at 52%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Bolívar vs Sao Paulo
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Bolívar
4-4-2- 9M. Cauteruccio
- 27D. Asprilla
- 17P. Rodríguez
- 26E. Saavedra
- 80C. Melgar
- 14R. Matheus
- 4Jose Sagredo
- 5S. Echeverría
- 3X. Arreaga
- 2Jesús Sagredo
- 1C. Lampe
Sao Paulo
3-5-1-1- 9J. Calleri
- 10Luciano
- 12Iago
- 8Marcos Antônio
- 29Pablo Maia
- 16D. Bobadilla
- 19Lucas Ramon
- 22Domingos Duarte
- 5R. Arboleda
- 28Newton
- 23Rafael
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bolívar have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Sao Paulo have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aurora(away) | 4-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Always Ready(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Gremio(away) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Real Potosí(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gremio(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Flamengo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| May 31, 2026 | Remo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| May 26, 2026 | Boston River(home) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
How many goals should we expect?
Bolívar score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sao Paulo score 1.0 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolívar | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Sao Paulo | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
A question about Bolívar vs Sao Paulo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy