Sao Paulo vs Gremio: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 9Kick-off on May 18, 2025 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), São Paulo, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Gremio?
Sao Paulo won 2-1 on May 18, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 37′A. AravenaGremio
- 49′R. ArboledaSao Paulo
- 85′André SilvaSao Paulo (pen.)
Official lineup for Sao Paulo vs Gremio
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Sao Paulo
4-2-3-1- 17André Silva
- 8Oscar
- 10Luciano
- 48Lucas Ferreira
- 20Marcos Antônio
- 25Alisson
- 13E. Díaz
- 35Sabino
- 5R. Arboleda
- 32N. Ferraresi
- 23Rafael
Gremio
4-4-2- 22M. Braithwaite
- 11M. Monsalve
- 16A. Aravena
- 17Dodi
- 20M. Villasanti
- 47Alysson Edward
- 23Marlon
- 3Wagner Leonardo
- 21Jemerson
- 18João Pedro
- 1Tiago Volpi
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sao Paulo have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Gremio have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2025 | Libertad Asuncion(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 11, 2025 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| May 6, 2025 | Alianza Lima(away) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 3, 2025 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Nautico Recife(home) | 2-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2025 | Godoy Cruz(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 10, 2025 | RB Bragantino(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| May 8, 2025 | Atletico Grau(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 4, 2025 | Santos(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| May 1, 2025 | CSA(away) | 2-3 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sao Paulo wins, 0 draws, 3 Gremio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2024 | Gremio 2-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Sao Paulo 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Sao Paulo 3-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 4, 2023 | Gremio 2-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Dec 2, 2021 | Gremio 3-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Sao Paulo 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Sao Paulo score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 1.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Gremio | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sao Paulo sit 10th in Serie A (44 points from 34 matches) and Gremio sit 18th (37 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 39 | 44 |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 47 | 37 |
A question about Sao Paulo vs Gremio?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy