Sarasota Paradise vs Forward Madison: result 1-3 and analysis
USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on May 2, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Cleland Stadium at Ihrig Feild at Sarasota High, Sarasota, Florida
Full time
What was the result of Sarasota Paradise vs Forward Madison?
Forward Madison won 1-3 on May 2, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 24′D. GebhardForward Madison
- 27′J. BolanosSarasota Paradise
- 84′T. HumphreyForward Madison
- 86′J. BolmaForward Madison
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarasota Paradise have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Forward Madison have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rowdies(away) | 0-2 | USL League One Cup |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Corpus Christi(home) | 2-1 | USL League One |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Naples(away) | 0-2 | USL League One |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Westchester SC(away) | 0-2 | USL League One |
| Apr 4, 2026 | One Knoxville(home) | 1-2 | USL League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Lexington(away) | 2-4 | USL League One Cup |
| Apr 19, 2026 | NY Cosmos(away) | 2-2 | USL League One |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Union Omaha(away) | 0-1 | USL League One |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Naples(away) | 1-0 | USL League One |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Flint City Bucks(away) | 0-2 | US Open Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Sarasota Paradise score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Forward Madison score 1.2 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarasota Paradise | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Forward Madison | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sarasota Paradise sit 14th in USL League One (22 points from 22 matches) and Forward Madison sit 3rd (40 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Forward Madison | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 40 |
| 14 | Sarasota Paradise | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 36 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 8, 2026Westchester SC2-3One Knoxville
- Mar 8, 2026Naples2-0Fort Wayne
- Mar 8, 2026Sarasota Paradise0-1Boise
- Mar 8, 2026Alta1-1Richmond Kickers
- Mar 8, 2026TormentavsSpokane Velocity
- Mar 14, 2026NY Cosmos1-3Portland Hearts of Pine
- Mar 14, 2026TormentavsAlta
- Mar 14, 2026Greenville Triumph1-2Chattanooga Red Wolves