Where and when is Sarasota Paradise vs Tormenta played?

Sarasota Paradise vs Tormenta is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Cleland Stadium at Ihrig Feild at Sarasota High, in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sarasota Paradise vs Tormenta: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Cleland Stadium at Ihrig Feild at Sarasota High, Sarasota, Florida

Sarasota Paradise

Tormenta

The Footlab model makes Tormenta the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Sarasota Paradise. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sarasota Paradise vs Tormenta?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Sarasota Paradise (1,669) and Tormenta (1,740).

Sarasota Paradise win37 %

Draw25 %

Tormenta win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarasota Paradise have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Tormenta have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sarasota Paradise
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Union Omaha(away)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 19, 2026	Chattanooga Red Wolves(home)	3-2	USL League One
Aug 15, 2026	Charlotte Independence(away)	1-3	USL League One
Aug 8, 2026	One Knoxville(away)	1-2	USL League One
Jul 29, 2026	Portland Hearts of Pine(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs

Tormenta
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Nov 3, 2025	Spokane Velocity(away)	0-0	USL League One
Oct 25, 2025	Texoma(home)	3-0	USL League One
Oct 18, 2025	Greenville Triumph(away)	4-1	USL League One
Oct 12, 2025	Spokane Velocity(away)	1-1	USL League One
Oct 3, 2025	Westchester SC(home)	3-1	USL League One

How many goals should we expect?

Sarasota Paradise score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Tormenta score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sarasota Paradise	1.2	1.6	5	8/15	8/15
Tormenta	2.3	1.2	4	10/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Sarasota Paradise	22	6	4	12	23	36	22

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sarasota Paradise vs Tormenta?: The Footlab model makes Tormenta the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Sarasota Paradise.
Where and when is Sarasota Paradise vs Tormenta played?: Sarasota Paradise vs Tormenta is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Cleland Stadium at Ihrig Feild at Sarasota High, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.