Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine: result 1-0 and analysis
USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on March 28, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Cleland Stadium at Ihrig Feild at Sarasota High, Sarasota, Florida
Full time
What was the result of Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
Sarasota Paradise won 1-0 on March 28, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 8′A. WalkerSarasota Paradise
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarasota Paradise have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Portland Hearts of Pine have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Fort Wayne(home) | 2-2 | USL League One |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Boise(home) | 0-1 | USL League One |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rowdies(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Rhode Island(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 21, 2026 | New York Red Bulls(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Alta(away) | 0-0 | USL League One |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Vermont Green(away) | 0-1 | US Open Cup |
| Mar 14, 2026 | NY Cosmos(away) | 3-1 | USL League One |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Spokane Velocity(away) | 1-1 | USL League One |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Chattanooga Red Wolves(away) | 1-0 | USL League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Sarasota Paradise score 2.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Portland Hearts of Pine score 1.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarasota Paradise | 2.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Portland Hearts of Pine | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sarasota Paradise sit 14th in USL League One (22 points from 22 matches) and Portland Hearts of Pine sit 13th (23 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 37 | 23 |
| 14 | Sarasota Paradise | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 36 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 8, 2026Westchester SC2-3One Knoxville
- Mar 8, 2026Naples2-0Fort Wayne
- Mar 8, 2026Sarasota Paradise0-1Boise
- Mar 8, 2026Alta1-1Richmond Kickers
- Mar 8, 2026TormentavsSpokane Velocity
- Mar 14, 2026NY Cosmos1-3Portland Hearts of Pine
- Mar 14, 2026TormentavsAlta
- Mar 14, 2026Greenville Triumph1-2Chattanooga Red Wolves