Where and when is Sarasota Paradise vs Spokane Velocity played?

Sarasota Paradise vs Spokane Velocity is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Cleland Stadium at Ihrig Feild at Sarasota High, in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sarasota Paradise vs Spokane Velocity: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Cleland Stadium at Ihrig Feild at Sarasota High, Sarasota, Florida

Sarasota Paradise

Spokane Velocity

The Footlab model makes Sarasota Paradise the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Spokane Velocity. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sarasota Paradise vs Spokane Velocity?

A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Sarasota Paradise (1,670) and Spokane Velocity (1,753).

Sarasota Paradise win41 %

Draw26 %

Spokane Velocity win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarasota Paradise have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Spokane Velocity have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sarasota Paradise
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Union Omaha(away)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 19, 2026	Chattanooga Red Wolves(home)	3-2	USL League One
Aug 15, 2026	Charlotte Independence(away)	1-3	USL League One
Aug 8, 2026	One Knoxville(away)	1-2	USL League One
Jul 29, 2026	Portland Hearts of Pine(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs

Spokane Velocity
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Greenville Triumph(home)	2-1	USL League One
Aug 16, 2026	Corpus Christi(home)	2-3	USL League One
Aug 13, 2026	Colorado Springs(home)	1-1	USL League One Cup
Jul 26, 2026	Fort Wayne(home)	3-1	USL League One
Jul 23, 2026	Charlotte Independence(home)	3-0	USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sarasota Paradise win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Spokane Velocity win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Spokane Velocity 1-0 Sarasota Paradise	USL League One

Last archived meeting: Spokane Velocity vs Sarasota Paradise on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sarasota Paradise score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Spokane Velocity score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sarasota Paradise	1.2	1.6	5	8/15	8/15
Spokane Velocity	1.5	1.3	3	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sarasota Paradise sit 14th in USL League One (22 points from 22 matches) and Spokane Velocity sit 5th (35 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Spokane Velocity	20	11	2	7	29	26	35
14	Sarasota Paradise	22	6	4	12	23	36	22

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sarasota Paradise vs Spokane Velocity?: The Footlab model makes Sarasota Paradise the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Spokane Velocity.
Where and when is Sarasota Paradise vs Spokane Velocity played?: Sarasota Paradise vs Spokane Velocity is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Cleland Stadium at Ihrig Feild at Sarasota High, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.