Sardarapat vs Shirak: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Sardarapat the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Shirak. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sardarapat wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,541 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sardarapat vs Shirak?
Sardarapat starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,579 vs 1,460).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sardarapat vs Shirak
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sardarapat
4-3-3- 8L. Petrosyan
- 28H. Minasyan
- 9L. Vardanyan
- 77G. Abrahamyan
- 10Y. Budagyan
- 21S. Galstyan
- 4Armen Sargsyan
- 19J. Quiñonez
- 5Ousmane Konate
- 22Sergey Kochkanyan
- 39G. Matinyan
Shirak
4-3-3- 10D. Kodia
- 10D. Kodia
- 53M. Harutyunyan
- 6R. Misakyan
- 19S. Tsarukyan
- 8L. Darbinyan
- 2H. Pahlevanyan
- 5T. Sumbulyan
- 4H. Mnatsakanyan
- 4H. Mnatsakanyan
- 55L. Karapetyan
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 05:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sardarapat have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Shirak have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Gandzasar(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Noah(home) | 1-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | BKMA(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Alashkert(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan(home) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Syunik(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sardarapat(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Van(away) | 4-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Sardarapat wins, 0 draws, 1 Shirak win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Shirak 2-0 Sardarapat | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Sardarapat score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Shirak score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sardarapat | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0 | 14/15 | 8/15 |
| Shirak | 0.9 | 1.6 | 5 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sardarapat sit 6th in Premier League (12 points from 9 matches) and Shirak sit 7th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sardarapat | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 12 |
| 7 | Shirak | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
A question about Sardarapat vs Shirak?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sardarapat vs Shirak?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sardarapat the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Shirak.
- Where and when is Sardarapat vs Shirak played?
- Sardarapat vs Shirak is played on December 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.