Match

Sarıyer vs Ayvalikgucu: prediction and stats

Türkiye Kupası3rd RoundKick-off on October 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Maltepe Hasan Polat Stadı, İstanbul

SarıyerAyvalikgucu

The Footlab AI model makes Sarıyer the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Ayvalikgucu. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sarıyer wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sarıyer vs Ayvalikgucu?

Sarıyer starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,786 vs 1,680).

54%22%24%
Sarıyer winDrawAyvalikgucu win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sarıyer vs Ayvalikgucu

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sarıyer

4-1-4-1
  1. 90E. Eze
  1. 10E. Karaca
  2. 7B. Alici
  3. 8Marcos Silva
  4. 53A. Biyogo Poko
  5. 14T. Ergül
  1. 88C. Osmanpaşa
  2. 5E. Korkmazoğlu
  3. 24K. Arslan
  4. 77C. Karayel
  1. 13I. Šehić

Ayvalikgucu

Not enough data to predict the Ayvalikgucu lineup.

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 07:42 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarıyer have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Ayvalikgucu have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sarıyer
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Sivasspor(away)1-11. Lig
Oct 13, 2026Bodrum FK(home)1-41. Lig
Oct 9, 2026Ümraniyespor(away)1-11. Lig
Sep 19, 2026Boluspor(home)2-11. Lig
Sep 11, 2026Bandırmaspor(home)1-11. Lig
Ayvalikgucu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Karsiyaka(home)0-03. Lig - Group 2
Oct 11, 2026Denizli İYG(away)1-03. Lig - Group 2
Oct 7, 2026Söke 1970(away)2-1Türkiye Kupası
Oct 3, 2026Söke 1970(home)1-13. Lig - Group 2
Sep 26, 2026Bigaspor(home)2-13. Lig - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Sarıyer score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ayvalikgucu score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sarıyer1.41.259/157/15
Ayvalikgucu1.80.786/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Sarıyer vs Ayvalikgucu?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sarıyer vs Ayvalikgucu?
The Footlab AI model makes Sarıyer the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Ayvalikgucu.
Where and when is Sarıyer vs Ayvalikgucu played?
Sarıyer vs Ayvalikgucu is played on October 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Maltepe Hasan Polat Stadı, in the Türkiye Kupası.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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