Sarnese vs Aranova: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Felice Squitieri, Sarno
The Footlab model makes Sarnese the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Aranova. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sarnese vs Aranova?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarnese have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Aranova have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Cavese(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Pompei(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| May 3, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Francavilla(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sarnese vs Aranova?
- The Footlab model makes Sarnese the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Aranova.
- Where and when is Sarnese vs Aranova played?
- Sarnese vs Aranova is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Felice Squitieri, in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.