Match

Mahasarakham United vs Chanthaburi: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 9Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, Maha Sarakham

Mahasarakham UnitedChanthaburi

The Footlab model makes Mahasarakham United the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Chanthaburi. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mahasarakham United vs Chanthaburi?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Mahasarakham United (1,460) and Chanthaburi (1,432).

Mahasarakham United win47 %
Draw26 %
Chanthaburi win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mahasarakham United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Chanthaburi have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mahasarakham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Khon Kaen United(home)2-2Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Rasi Salai United(away)0-3Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Nakhon Pathom(home)0-2Thai League 2
Mar 22, 2026Trat FC(away)0-2Thai League 2
Mar 18, 2026BG Pathum United(away)0-3League Cup
Chanthaburi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Police Tero(home)1-1Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Pattani(away)1-2Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Songkhla(away)1-1Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026Nakhon Si Thammarat(away)1-1Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026Sisaket United(away)0-1Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Mahasarakham United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Chanthaburi win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 10, 2026Chanthaburi 1-2 Mahasarakham UnitedThai League 2
Sep 28, 2025Mahasarakham United 2-2 ChanthaburiThai League 2
Mar 8, 2025Chanthaburi 1-0 Mahasarakham UnitedThai League 2
Nov 10, 2024Mahasarakham United 1-0 ChanthaburiThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Chanthaburi vs Mahasarakham United on Feb 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mahasarakham United score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chanthaburi score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mahasarakham United1.21.164/158/15
Chanthaburi1.21.4211/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mahasarakham United sit 8th in Thai League 2 (45 points from 34 matches) and Chanthaburi sit 14th (40 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Mahasarakham United3412913474245
14Chanthaburi34101014444640

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mahasarakham United vs Chanthaburi?
The Footlab model makes Mahasarakham United the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Chanthaburi.
Where and when is Mahasarakham United vs Chanthaburi played?
Mahasarakham United vs Chanthaburi is played on October 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Mahasarakham United and Chanthaburi

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