Satun vs Esan Pattaya: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Satun Municipal Stadium, Satun
The Footlab model makes Satun the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Esan Pattaya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Satun vs Esan Pattaya?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Satun (1,421) and Esan Pattaya (1,453).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Satun have 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Esan Pattaya have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | Lamphun Warrior(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Muang Trang United(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Muangthong United(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Dec 6, 2023 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Kanchanaburi(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sisaket United(home) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Satun score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 6; Esan Pattaya score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Satun | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
| Esan Pattaya | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Esan Pattaya | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45 | 42 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Satun vs Esan Pattaya?
- The Footlab model makes Satun the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Esan Pattaya.
- Where and when is Satun vs Esan Pattaya played?
- Satun vs Esan Pattaya is played on December 6, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Satun Municipal Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 4, 2026Nakhon PathomvsSongkhla
- Dec 5, 2026ChanthaburivsMuang Loei United
- Dec 5, 2026Mahasarakham UnitedvsPolice Tero
- Dec 5, 2026UttaraditvsPhrae United
- Dec 5, 2026Kasetsart FCvsKanchanaburi
- Dec 6, 2026Muangthong UnitedvsKhon Kaen United
- Dec 6, 2026Nong Bua PitchayavsNakhon Ratchasima FC
- Dec 6, 2026Chiangmai UnitedvsChainat