SC Braga B vs Tirsense: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 5Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Complex Desportivo Clube de Futebol de Fão, Fão
The Footlab model makes SC Braga B the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Tirsense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC Braga B vs Tirsense?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate SC Braga B (1,919) and Tirsense (1,883).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Braga B have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Tirsense have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bragança(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Maia Lidador(home) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Vizela(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Fafe(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vinhais(home) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rebordosa(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Varzim(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Chaves II(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Os Limianos(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
SC Braga B score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tirsense score 1.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Braga B | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Tirsense | 1.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SC Braga B sit 6th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (4 points from 2 matches) and Tirsense sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tirsense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | SC Braga B | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC Braga B vs Tirsense?
- The Footlab model makes SC Braga B the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Tirsense.
- Where and when is SC Braga B vs Tirsense played?
- SC Braga B vs Tirsense is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Complex Desportivo Clube de Futebol de Fão, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.