Brito vs Chaves II: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 5Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Parque de Jogos do Brito SC, Brito
The Footlab model makes Brito the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Chaves II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brito vs Chaves II?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Brito (1,832) and Chaves II (1,817).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brito have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Chaves II have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Montalegre(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bragança(home) | 2-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Mirandela(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ribeira Brava(away) | 3-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Celoricense(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rebordosa(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Os Limianos(away) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tirsense(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Bragança(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Os Limianos(home) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Brito win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Chaves II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Chaves II 0-1 Brito | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Brito 0-0 Chaves II | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Brito score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chaves II score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brito | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Chaves II | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brito sit 13th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (0 points from 2 matches) and Chaves II sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chaves II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Brito | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brito vs Chaves II?
- The Footlab model makes Brito the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Chaves II.
- Where and when is Brito vs Chaves II played?
- Brito vs Chaves II is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Parque de Jogos do Brito SC, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.