SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 1Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for FK Jablonec. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec?
SC Freiburg starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (2,224 vs 2,068).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SC Freiburg
4-2-3-1- 31I. Matanović
- 19J. Beste
- 8M. Eggestein
- 14Y. Suzuki
- 16Y. Engelhardt
- 7D. Scherhant
- 28M. Ginter
- 29P. Treu
- 33J. Makengo
- 37M. Rosenfelder
- 1M. Backhaus
FK Jablonec
3-4-2-1- 44L. Jawo
- 21M. Polidar
- 13R. Sedláček
- 7V. Tchanturishvili
- 6N. Okeke
- 8F. Zorvan
- 9A. Růsek
- 18M. Cedidla
- 4N. Tekijaški
- 15D. Pavlović
- 1J. Hanuš
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Freiburg have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; FK Jablonec have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Luzern(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(away) | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 5-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(away) | 1-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Werder Bremen(home) | 4-1 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Dukla Praha(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Zlin(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sparta Praha(away) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Baník Ostrava(home) | 3-0 | Czech Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(home) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
SC Freiburg score 3.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FK Jablonec score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg | 3.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| FK Jablonec | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec?
- The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for FK Jablonec.
- Where and when is SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec played?
- SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec is played on October 15, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Europa-Park Stadion, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.