Scarborough Athletic vs Marine: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Flamingo Land Stadium, Scarborough, North Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Scarborough Athletic the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Marine. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Scarborough Athletic vs Marine?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Scarborough Athletic (1,834) and Marine (1,791).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Scarborough Athletic have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Marine have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hednesford Town(away) | 4-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Harrogate Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Chorley(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hereford(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Macclesfield(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bootle(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Scarborough Athletic win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Marine win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Marine 1-1 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Scarborough Athletic 1-2 Marine | National League - North |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Scarborough Athletic 4-1 Marine | National League - North |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Marine 0-1 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Marine 1-0 Scarborough Athletic | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Marine vs Scarborough Athletic on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Scarborough Athletic score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Marine score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarborough Athletic | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Marine | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Scarborough Athletic sit 8th in National League - North (6 points from 4 matches) and Marine sit 18th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Scarborough Athletic | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 18 | Marine | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Scarborough Athletic vs Marine?
- The Footlab model makes Scarborough Athletic the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Marine.
- Where and when is Scarborough Athletic vs Marine played?
- Scarborough Athletic vs Marine is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Flamingo Land Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.