Buxton vs Worksop Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Silverlands, Buxton, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Buxton the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Worksop Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Buxton wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buxton vs Worksop Town?
On Elo ratings, Buxton has 1,936 points and Worksop Town 1,867.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Buxton vs Worksop Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Buxton
Not enough data to predict the Buxton lineup.
Worksop Town
Not enough data to predict the Worksop Town lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buxton have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Worksop Town have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 0-4 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chester(home) | 3-1 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Morecambe(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chester(away) | 1-4 | National League - North |
| Sep 22, 2026 | AFC Telford United(home) | 5-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AFC Telford United(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Buxton wins, 1 draw, 0 Worksop Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Worksop Town 1-2 Buxton | National League - North |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Buxton 3-1 Worksop Town | National League - North |
| Jul 16, 2024 | Worksop Town 0-0 Buxton | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Worksop Town vs Buxton on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buxton score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Worksop Town score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buxton | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Worksop Town | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buxton sit 10th in National League - North (16 points from 11 matches) and Worksop Town sit 15th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Buxton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 16 |
| 15 | Worksop Town | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 15 |
A question about Buxton vs Worksop Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buxton vs Worksop Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Buxton the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Worksop Town.
- Where and when is Buxton vs Worksop Town played?
- Buxton vs Worksop Town is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Silverlands, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.