Spennymoor Town vs Chester: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 12Kick-off on November 17, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Brewery Field, Spennymoor, County Durham
The Footlab AI model makes Chester the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Spennymoor Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chester wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,250 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spennymoor Town vs Chester?
Chester starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,822 vs 1,715).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Spennymoor Town vs Chester
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Spennymoor Town
4-3-3- 16Ben Pollock
- 11J. Mondal
- 36Cameron Salkeld
- 29M. Dolan
- 7M. Heaney
- 28Corey McKeown
- 3D. Jones
- 2O. Dyson
- 4M. Hancox
- 6Ben Beals
- 13Ryan Johnson
Chester
Not enough data to predict the Chester lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 03:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spennymoor Town have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Chester have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Chorley(home) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Hednesford Town(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Marine(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Spennymoor Town wins, 1 draw, 3 Chester wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Spennymoor Town 4-1 Chester | FA Cup |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Chester 2-1 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Spennymoor Town 1-2 Chester | National League - North |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Chester 1-0 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Spennymoor Town 3-0 Chester | National League - North |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Chester 1-1 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Spennymoor Town vs Chester on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spennymoor Town score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chester score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spennymoor Town | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Chester | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spennymoor Town sit 24th in National League - North (10 points from 15 matches) and Chester sit 8th (26 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Chester | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 26 |
| 24 | Spennymoor Town | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 29 | 10 |
A question about Spennymoor Town vs Chester?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spennymoor Town vs Chester?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chester the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Spennymoor Town.
- Where and when is Spennymoor Town vs Chester played?
- Spennymoor Town vs Chester is played on November 17, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Brewery Field, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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