Match

Scherpenberg vs Monheim: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 7Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Hartplatz SV Scherpenberg, Moers

ScherpenbergMonheim

The Footlab model makes Scherpenberg the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Monheim. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Scherpenberg vs Monheim?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Scherpenberg (1,762) and Monheim (1,738).

Scherpenberg win49 %
Draw22 %
Monheim win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Scherpenberg have 1 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Monheim have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Scherpenberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Sonsbeck(away)1-1Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 14, 2026SW Essen(home)5-3Oberliga - Niederrhein
Mar 12, 2024Sonsbeck(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2020Sterkrade-Nord(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Monheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026BW Dingden(home)1-0Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 16, 2026Büderich(away)2-2Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jul 19, 2026Siegburger SV(home)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 3, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf(home)0-6Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026Germania Ratingen(home)2-0Oberliga - Niederrhein

How many goals should we expect?

Scherpenberg score 2.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 4; Monheim score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Scherpenberg2.31.804/42/4
Monheim1.32.138/159/15

Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Scherpenberg sit 6th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (3 points from 1 matches) and Monheim sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Scherpenberg1100533
10Monheim1010221

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Scherpenberg vs Monheim?
The Footlab model makes Scherpenberg the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Monheim.
Where and when is Scherpenberg vs Monheim played?
Scherpenberg vs Monheim is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Hartplatz SV Scherpenberg, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Scherpenberg and Monheim

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