Scherpenberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hartplatz SV Scherpenberg, Moers
The Footlab model makes Scherpenberg the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Fortuna Düsseldorf II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Scherpenberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?
Fortuna Düsseldorf II starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,875 vs 1,762).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Scherpenberg have 1 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Fortuna Düsseldorf II have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sonsbeck(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SW Essen(home) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Sonsbeck(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2020 | Sterkrade-Nord(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Meerbusch(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 31, 2026 | TSV Steinbach(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Homberg(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | SC St. Tönis(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Bochum II(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Scherpenberg score 2.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 4; Fortuna Düsseldorf II score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scherpenberg | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0 | 4/4 | 2/4 |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf II | 1.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Scherpenberg sit 6th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (3 points from 1 matches) and Fortuna Düsseldorf II sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Scherpenberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Scherpenberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?
- The Footlab model makes Scherpenberg the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Fortuna Düsseldorf II.
- Where and when is Scherpenberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II played?
- Scherpenberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II is played on December 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hartplatz SV Scherpenberg, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.