SC St. Tönis vs Büderich: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 7Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Jahn-Sport-Anlage, Tönisvorst
The Footlab model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 48%, against 19% for a draw and 32% for Büderich. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC St. Tönis vs Büderich?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate SC St. Tönis (1,834) and Büderich (1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC St. Tönis have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Büderich have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 0-11 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Solingen-Wald(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Hilden(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Germania Ratingen(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Monheim(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jun 7, 2026 | SF Baumberg(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Meerbusch(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SC St. Tönis win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Büderich win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Büderich 3-4 SC St. Tönis | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 30, 2025 | SC St. Tönis 5-0 Büderich | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Dec 13, 2024 | SC St. Tönis 4-1 Büderich | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Büderich 1-5 SC St. Tönis | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Büderich 3-2 SC St. Tönis | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 20, 2023 | SC St. Tönis 0-3 Büderich | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
Last archived meeting: Büderich vs SC St. Tönis on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SC St. Tönis score 1.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Büderich score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC St. Tönis | 1.9 | 2.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Büderich | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SC St. Tönis sit 7th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (3 points from 1 matches) and Büderich sit 8th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | SC St. Tönis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Büderich | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC St. Tönis vs Büderich?
- The Footlab model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 48%, against 19% for a draw and 32% for Büderich.
- Where and when is SC St. Tönis vs Büderich played?
- SC St. Tönis vs Büderich is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Jahn-Sport-Anlage, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.