Match

Schwabmünchen vs TuS Geretsried: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 22Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)siegmund arena, Schwabmünchen

SchwabmünchenTuS Geretsried

The Footlab model makes Schwabmünchen the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for TuS Geretsried. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Schwabmünchen vs TuS Geretsried?

A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Schwabmünchen (1,688) and TuS Geretsried (1,743).

Schwabmünchen win40 %
Draw23 %
TuS Geretsried win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schwabmünchen have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; TuS Geretsried have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Schwabmünchen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Schalding-Heining(home)8-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026Sportfreunde Schwaig(home)2-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 15, 2026TuS Geretsried(away)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026Heimstetten(home)1-3Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 1, 2026Pipinsried(away)1-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
TuS Geretsried
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Pfaffenhofen(home)2-3Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026Schalding-Heining(away)5-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 15, 2026Schwabmünchen(home)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026Sportfreunde Schwaig(home)2-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026Heimstetten(away)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Schwabmünchen win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 TuS Geretsried win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026TuS Geretsried 0-0 SchwabmünchenOberliga - Bayern Süd
May 31, 2025Schwabmünchen 2-1 TuS GeretsriedOberliga - Relegation Round
May 28, 2025TuS Geretsried 4-0 SchwabmünchenOberliga - Relegation Round

Last archived meeting: TuS Geretsried vs Schwabmünchen on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Schwabmünchen score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; TuS Geretsried score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Schwabmünchen1.32.328/1511/15
TuS Geretsried2.01.6212/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11TuS Geretsried3412913505045

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Schwabmünchen vs TuS Geretsried?
The Footlab model makes Schwabmünchen the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for TuS Geretsried.
Where and when is Schwabmünchen vs TuS Geretsried played?
Schwabmünchen vs TuS Geretsried is played on March 7, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at siegmund arena, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Schwabmünchen and TuS Geretsried

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