Scunthorpe vs Southend: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Attis Arena, Scunthorpe
The Footlab AI model makes Southend the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Scunthorpe. The most likely score is 1-1. If Southend wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Scunthorpe vs Southend?
Southend starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,967 vs 1,835).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Scunthorpe vs Southend
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Scunthorpe
4-3-3- 18K. Hurst
- 14P. Jones
- 9J. Norwood
- 23J. Butterfield
- 17D. Batty
- 11J. Rowley
- 21J. Starbuck
- 44R. Barrows
- 33T. Denton
- 5W. Evans
- 25M. Campbell
Southend
4-3-3- 9H. Cardwell
- 14P. Omochere
- 27R. Colclough
- 19L. Chambers-Parillon
- 8D. Oldaker
- 4A. Hartigan
- 2V. Campbell
- 3Kyle James McAdam
- 6B. Goodliffe
- 20D. Cox
- 1J. Duncan
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Scunthorpe have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Southend have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Derby County U21(home) | 2-2 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Fylde(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Barrow(away) | 0-3 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hartlepool(home) | 4-1 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | AFC Fylde(home) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-4 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 6-1 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Scunthorpe wins, 0 draws, 3 Southend wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Southend 1-0 Scunthorpe | National League |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Scunthorpe 1-0 Southend | National League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Scunthorpe 1-0 Southend | National League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Southend 0-2 Scunthorpe | National League |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Scunthorpe 1-3 Southend | National League |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Southend 3-0 Scunthorpe | National League |
Last archived meeting: Southend vs Scunthorpe on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Scunthorpe score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Southend score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Southend | 2.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Scunthorpe sit 22nd in National League (10 points from 12 matches) and Southend sit 3rd (27 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Southend | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 19 | 27 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 10 |
A question about Scunthorpe vs Southend?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Scunthorpe vs Southend?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southend the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Scunthorpe.
- Where and when is Scunthorpe vs Southend played?
- Scunthorpe vs Southend is played on January 23, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Attis Arena, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.