Sebat Gençlikspor vs Adana Demirspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 11Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ortahisar Yavuz Selim Stadı, Trabzon
The Footlab model makes Sebat Gençlikspor the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Adana Demirspor. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sebat Gençlikspor vs Adana Demirspor?
Sebat Gençlikspor starts as the favourite with a 292-point Elo edge (1,744 vs 1,452).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sebat Gençlikspor have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Adana Demirspor have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Orduspor 1967(away) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | 1926 Bulancak(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Çayelispor(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Amasyaspor 1968(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | İstanbulspor(away) | 1-8 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(home) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Boluspor(away) | 0-6 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Iğdır FK(home) | 1-6 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Hatayspor(away) | 0-4 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sebat Gençlikspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Adana Demirspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | Adana Demirspor 4-3 Sebat Gençlikspor | Türkiye Kupası |
Last archived meeting: Adana Demirspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor on Dec 3, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Sebat Gençlikspor score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Adana Demirspor score 0.5 and concede 4.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebat Gençlikspor | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Adana Demirspor | 0.5 | 4.5 | 0 | 6/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sebat Gençlikspor vs Adana Demirspor?
- The Footlab model makes Sebat Gençlikspor the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Adana Demirspor.
- Where and when is Sebat Gençlikspor vs Adana Demirspor played?
- Sebat Gençlikspor vs Adana Demirspor is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ortahisar Yavuz Selim Stadı, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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