Kastamonuspor vs Şanlıurfaspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 11Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kastamonu Gazi Stadyumu, Kastamonu
The Footlab model makes Şanlıurfaspor the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Kastamonuspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kastamonuspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?
Şanlıurfaspor starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,757 vs 1,653).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kastamonuspor have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Şanlıurfaspor have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Şanlıurfaspor(away) | 2-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Karaman FK(home) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Karacabey Belediyespor(away) | 0-4 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(home) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ankaraspor(home) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kastamonuspor(home) | 5-2 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Kastamonuspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Şanlıurfaspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Şanlıurfaspor 5-2 Kastamonuspor | 2. Lig |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Kastamonuspor 2-4 Şanlıurfaspor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Şanlıurfaspor vs Kastamonuspor on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kastamonuspor score 0.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Şanlıurfaspor score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kastamonuspor | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Şanlıurfaspor | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kastamonuspor sit 12th in 2. Lig (42 points from 36 matches) and Şanlıurfaspor sit 5th (65 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Şanlıurfaspor | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 63 | 43 | 65 |
| 12 | Kastamonuspor | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 44 | 56 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kastamonuspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Şanlıurfaspor the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Kastamonuspor.
- Where and when is Kastamonuspor vs Şanlıurfaspor played?
- Kastamonuspor vs Şanlıurfaspor is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kastamonu Gazi Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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