Ankaraspor vs Aliağa FAŞ: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 11Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)15 Temmuz Milli Birlik Stadyumu, Sincan
The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Ankaraspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ankaraspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
Aliağa FAŞ starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,796 vs 1,695).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ankaraspor have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Aliağa FAŞ have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Şanlıurfaspor(away) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Karaman FK(home) | 5-4 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Karacabey Belediyespor(away) | 3-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(home) | 2-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Altınordu(away) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 0-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Menemen FK(home) | 5-0 | 2. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Ankaraspor score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aliağa FAŞ score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankaraspor | 1.8 | 2.1 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Aliağa FAŞ | 2.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ankaraspor sit 10th in 2. Lig (52 points from 36 matches) and Aliağa FAŞ sit 4th (69 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aliağa FAŞ | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 81 | 32 | 69 |
| 10 | Ankaraspor | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ankaraspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
- The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Ankaraspor.
- Where and when is Ankaraspor vs Aliağa FAŞ played?
- Ankaraspor vs Aliağa FAŞ is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at 15 Temmuz Milli Birlik Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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