Match

Ankaraspor vs Aliağa FAŞ: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 11Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)15 Temmuz Milli Birlik Stadyumu, Sincan

AnkarasporAliağa FAŞ

The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Ankaraspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ankaraspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?

Aliağa FAŞ starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,796 vs 1,695).

Ankaraspor win27 %
Draw22 %
Aliağa FAŞ win50 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ankaraspor have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Aliağa FAŞ have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ankaraspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Şanlıurfaspor(away)1-22. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Karaman FK(home)5-42. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Karacabey Belediyespor(away)3-32. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Batman Petrolspor(home)2-32. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Altınordu(away)0-12. Lig
Aliağa FAŞ
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 4, 2026Muş Sport Klübü(away)0-02. Lig
Apr 30, 2026Muş Sport Klübü(home)1-12. Lig
Apr 25, 2026Bursaspor(home)0-52. Lig
Apr 19, 202668 Aksaray Belediyespor(away)1-12. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Menemen FK(home)5-02. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Ankaraspor score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aliağa FAŞ score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ankaraspor1.82.1012/1510/15
Aliağa FAŞ2.11.758/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ankaraspor sit 10th in 2. Lig (52 points from 36 matches) and Aliağa FAŞ sit 4th (69 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Aliağa FAŞ342167813269
10Ankaraspor36131310645452

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ankaraspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Ankaraspor.
Where and when is Ankaraspor vs Aliağa FAŞ played?
Ankaraspor vs Aliağa FAŞ is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at 15 Temmuz Milli Birlik Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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