Semendrija 1924 vs Grafičar: prediction and stats
Prva LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportski Kompleks FK Smederevo, Smederevo
The Footlab model makes Semendrija 1924 the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Grafičar. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Semendrija 1924 vs Grafičar?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Semendrija 1924 (1,634) and Grafičar (1,568).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Semendrija 1924 have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Grafičar have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Metalac GM(away) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | OFK Bor 1919(home) | 4-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Grafičar(away) | 2-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Borac Cacak(home) | 3-2 | Prva Liga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Mladost DG(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Loznica(home) | 2-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FK Vozdovac(away) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Semendrija 1924(home) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Napredak(away) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borac Cacak(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Semendrija 1924 win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Grafičar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Grafičar 1-2 Semendrija 1924 | Prva Liga |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Grafičar 0-1 Semendrija 1924 | Prva Liga |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Grafičar 0-0 Semendrija 1924 | Prva Liga |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Semendrija 1924 0-1 Grafičar | Prva Liga |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Semendrija 1924 1-1 Grafičar | Prva Liga |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Grafičar 2-0 Semendrija 1924 | Prva Liga |
Last archived meeting: Grafičar vs Semendrija 1924 on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Semendrija 1924 score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Grafičar score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semendrija 1924 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Grafičar | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Semendrija 1924 sit 4th in Prva Liga (10 points from 4 matches) and Grafičar sit 10th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Semendrija 1924 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 10 | Grafičar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Semendrija 1924 vs Grafičar?
- The Footlab model makes Semendrija 1924 the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Grafičar.
- Where and when is Semendrija 1924 vs Grafičar played?
- Semendrija 1924 vs Grafičar is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportski Kompleks FK Smederevo, in the Prva Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.