Senegal U20 vs Sierra Leone U20: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations U20Qualification - 3Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Senegal U20 the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Sierra Leone U20. The most likely score is 1-1. If Senegal U20 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Senegal U20 vs Sierra Leone U20?
Senegal U20 starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,609 vs 1,499).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Senegal U20 vs Sierra Leone U20
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Senegal U20
4-2-3-1- 9I. Dieng
- 8C. Thiam
- 15O. Seck
- 11A. Badji
- 22M. Faye
- 14P. Dorival
- 17I. Diallo
- 3O. Konaté
- 5O. Sarr
- 12Lassana Traoré
- 16M. Sissokho
Sierra Leone U20
4-3-3- 21S. Gandi
- 24Osman Kamara
- 9S. Kargbo
- 10M. Kamara
- 14M. Bai Kamara
- 18Nathaniel Jalloh
- 4Alpha Turay
- 13A. Keita
- 3S. Bangura
- 5A. Kabia
- 23M. Jalloh
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 04:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Senegal U20 have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Sierra Leone U20 have 2, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Mauritania U20(home) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations U20 |
| May 12, 2025 | Nigeria U20(away) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations U20 |
| May 8, 2025 | Congo DR U20(home) | 2-0 | Africa Cup of Nations U20 |
| May 5, 2025 | Ghana U20(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations U20 |
| May 2, 2025 | Central African Rep. U20(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations U20 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Mauritania U20(away) | 2-2 | Africa Cup of Nations U20 |
| May 12, 2025 | Morocco U20(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations U20 |
| May 6, 2025 | South Africa U20(home) | 1-4 | Africa Cup of Nations U20 |
| May 3, 2025 | Tanzania U20(away) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations U20 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Egypt U20(home) | 4-1 | Africa Cup of Nations U20 |
How many goals should we expect?
Senegal U20 score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sierra Leone U20 score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senegal U20 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Sierra Leone U20 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 3/8 | 3/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Senegal U20 vs Sierra Leone U20?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Senegal U20 vs Sierra Leone U20?
- The Footlab AI model makes Senegal U20 the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Sierra Leone U20.
- Where and when is Senegal U20 vs Sierra Leone U20 played?
- Senegal U20 vs Sierra Leone U20 is played on October 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Africa Cup of Nations U20.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.