Senegal U23 vs South Sudan U23: prediction and stats
CAF U23 Cup of NationsSemi-finalsKick-off on November 17, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Léopold Sédar Senghor, Dakar
The Footlab AI model makes Senegal U23 the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for South Sudan U23. The most likely score is 1-1. If Senegal U23 wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,337 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Senegal U23 vs South Sudan U23?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Senegal U23 (1,505) and South Sudan U23 (1,508).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Senegal U23 vs South Sudan U23
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Senegal U23
4-3-3- 7M. Konaté
- 11K. Yero
- 15M. Gueye
- 10S. Mané
- 13M. Diamé
- 8C. Kouyaté
- 16P. Souaré
- 6Z. Touré
- 5Papa Gueye
- 2Saliou Ciss
- 1O. Mané
South Sudan U23
Not enough data to predict the South Sudan U23 lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 10:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Senegal U23 have 4 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; South Sudan U23 have 3, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Gambia U23(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2023 | Mali U23(away) | 0-3 | Africa U23 Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 22, 2023 | Mali U23(home) | 3-1 | Africa U23 Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Burkina Faso U23(home) | 0-0 | Africa U23 Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Burkina Faso U23(away) | 0-0 | Africa U23 Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Djibouti U23(home) | 1-2 | CAF U23 Cup of Nations |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Djibouti U23(away) | 3-0 | CAF U23 Cup of Nations |
| Sep 26, 2022 | Tanzania U23(home) | 3-3 | Africa U23 Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 23, 2022 | Tanzania U23(away) | 0-0 | Africa U23 Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jul 29, 2021 | Kenya U23(home) | 1-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Senegal U23 score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 12; South Sudan U23 score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senegal U23 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/12 | 4/12 |
| South Sudan U23 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 4 | 2/8 | 3/8 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
A question about Senegal U23 vs South Sudan U23?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Senegal U23 vs South Sudan U23?
- The Footlab AI model makes Senegal U23 the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for South Sudan U23.
- Where and when is Senegal U23 vs South Sudan U23 played?
- Senegal U23 vs South Sudan U23 is played on November 17, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Léopold Sédar Senghor, in the CAF U23 Cup of Nations.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.