Seraing United vs Liège: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Pairay, Seraing
The Footlab model makes Liège the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Seraing United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Seraing United vs Liège?
Liège starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,825 vs 1,713).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Seraing United have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Liège have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Club Brugge II(away) | 2-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lokeren-Temse(home) | 0-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AS Eupen(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Flénu(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | KRC Genk II(away) | 3-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Francs Borains(home) | 1-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Patro Eisden(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Waremme(away) | 7-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aywaille(away) | 7-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Seraing United win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Liège win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Seraing United 2-2 Liège | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Liège 2-0 Seraing United | Challenger Pro League |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Liège 2-1 Seraing United | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Seraing United 0-3 Liège | Challenger Pro League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Seraing United 0-4 Liège | Challenger Pro League |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Liège 2-1 Seraing United | Challenger Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Seraing United vs Liège on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Seraing United score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Liège score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seraing United | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Liège | 2.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Seraing United sit 13th in Challenger Pro League (0 points from 2 matches) and Liège sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Liège | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Seraing United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Seraing United vs Liège?
- The Footlab model makes Liège the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Seraing United.
- Where and when is Seraing United vs Liège played?
- Seraing United vs Liège is played on October 31, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Pairay, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.