Match

Seravezza vs Gavorrano: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Buon Riposo, Pozzi Seravezza

SeravezzaGavorrano

The Footlab model makes Seravezza the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Gavorrano. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Seravezza vs Gavorrano?

Seravezza starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,779 vs 1,644).

Seravezza win56 %
Draw26 %
Gavorrano win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Seravezza have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Gavorrano have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Seravezza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Pistoiese(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026Prato(away)2-1Serie D - Girone E
May 10, 2026Tau Altopascio(away)2-0Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026San Donato Tavarnelle(away)1-1Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026Foligno Calcio(home)0-0Serie D - Girone E
Gavorrano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Camaiore(home)3-2Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026Tau Altopascio(home)1-2Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026Scandicci(away)3-1Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026Orvietana Calcio(home)0-1Serie D - Girone E
Apr 12, 2026Sporting Trestina(away)1-1Serie D - Girone E

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Seravezza win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Gavorrano win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 1, 2026Gavorrano 1-1 SeravezzaSerie D - Girone E
Oct 26, 2025Seravezza 2-1 GavorranoSerie D - Girone E
May 4, 2025Gavorrano 0-2 SeravezzaSerie D - Girone E
Dec 21, 2024Seravezza 1-0 GavorranoSerie D - Girone E
Feb 24, 2024Gavorrano 3-0 SeravezzaSerie D - Girone E
Oct 22, 2023Seravezza 1-2 GavorranoSerie D - Girone E

Last archived meeting: Gavorrano vs Seravezza on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Seravezza score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gavorrano score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Seravezza1.10.958/154/15
Gavorrano1.11.429/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Seravezza sit 5th in Serie D - Girone E (57 points from 34 matches) and Gavorrano sit 14th (37 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Seravezza3415127422957
14Gavorrano3491015364937

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Seravezza vs Gavorrano?
The Footlab model makes Seravezza the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Gavorrano.
Where and when is Seravezza vs Gavorrano played?
Seravezza vs Gavorrano is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Buon Riposo, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Seravezza and Gavorrano

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