Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, Montevarchi
The Footlab AI model makes Montevarchi Calcio the favourite at 54%, against 28% for a draw and 18% for Grassina. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina?
On Elo ratings, Montevarchi Calcio has 1,699 points and Grassina 1,702.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montevarchi Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Montevarchi Calcio lineup.
Grassina
Not enough data to predict the Grassina lineup.
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 10:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montevarchi Calcio have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Grassina have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ternana(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Progresso(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Seravezza(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lucchese(home) | 3-6 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mezzolara(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Scandicci(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Prato(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Flaminia(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Montevarchi Calcio wins, 1 draw, 0 Grassina wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2019 | Grassina 2-2 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Grassina vs Montevarchi Calcio on Nov 10, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Montevarchi Calcio score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Grassina score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montevarchi Calcio | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Grassina | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montevarchi Calcio sit 12th in Serie D - Girone E (7 points from 6 matches) and Grassina sit 17th (2 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Montevarchi Calcio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
| 17 | Grassina | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 2 |
A question about Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montevarchi Calcio the favourite at 54%, against 28% for a draw and 18% for Grassina.
- Where and when is Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina played?
- Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026LucchesevsGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano
- Oct 25, 2026Robur SienavsRondinella
- Oct 25, 2026PratovsFlaminia
- Oct 25, 2026SeravezzavsGavorrano
- Oct 25, 2026MezzolaravsTerranuova Traiana
- Oct 25, 2026ScandiccivsSan Donato Tavarnelle
- Oct 25, 2026ProgressovsTernana
- Oct 25, 2026Tau AltopasciovsSasso Marconi Zola