Where and when is Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina played?

Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, in the Serie D - Girone E.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, Montevarchi

Montevarchi Calcio

Grassina

The Footlab model makes Montevarchi Calcio the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Grassina. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina?

A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Montevarchi Calcio (1,693) and Grassina (1,760).

Montevarchi Calcio win37 %

Draw33 %

Grassina win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montevarchi Calcio have 5 wins, 9 draws and 1 defeats; Grassina have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Montevarchi Calcio
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Figline(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Prato(away)	0-1	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026	Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home)	1-0	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026	Robur Siena(away)	0-0	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 12, 2026	Terranuova Traiana(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone E

Grassina
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 1, 2020	Aglianese(away)	3-3	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 23, 2020	Gavorrano(away)	0-2	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 16, 2020	Flaminia(home)	2-0	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 9, 2020	Cannara(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 2, 2020	Scandicci(home)	1-0	Serie D - Girone E

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Montevarchi Calcio win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Grassina win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 10, 2019	Grassina 2-2 Montevarchi Calcio	Serie D - Girone E

Last archived meeting: Grassina vs Montevarchi Calcio on Nov 10, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

Montevarchi Calcio score 0.7 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Grassina score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Montevarchi Calcio	0.7	0.3	10	4/15	0/15
Grassina	1.5	1.1	5	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Montevarchi Calcio	34	10	16	8	28	32	46

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina?: The Footlab model makes Montevarchi Calcio the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Grassina.
Where and when is Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina played?: Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.