Sestri Levante vs Millesimo: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Sivori, Sestri Levante
The Footlab AI model makes Sestri Levante the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Millesimo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sestri Levante wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sestri Levante vs Millesimo?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Sestri Levante (1,727) and Millesimo (1,697).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sestri Levante vs Millesimo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sestri Levante
Not enough data to predict the Sestri Levante lineup.
Millesimo
Not enough data to predict the Millesimo lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sestri Levante have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Millesimo have 4, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Celle Varazze(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Borgosesia(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Biellese(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lascaris(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Borgosesia(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Sanremese(away) | 2-5 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Asti(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lascaris(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Derthona(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Sestri Levante score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Millesimo score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sestri Levante | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Millesimo | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 3/8 | 4/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sestri Levante sit 14th in Serie D - Girone A (7 points from 6 matches) and Millesimo sit 8th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Millesimo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 14 | Sestri Levante | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Sestri Levante vs Millesimo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sestri Levante vs Millesimo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sestri Levante the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Millesimo.
- Where and when is Sestri Levante vs Millesimo played?
- Sestri Levante vs Millesimo is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Sivori, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.