Imperia vs Sestri Levante: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Nino Ciccione, Imperia
The Footlab AI model makes Imperia the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Sestri Levante. The most likely score is 1-1. If Imperia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Imperia vs Sestri Levante?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Imperia (1,607) and Sestri Levante (1,652).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Imperia vs Sestri Levante
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Imperia
Not enough data to predict the Imperia lineup.
Sestri Levante
Not enough data to predict the Sestri Levante lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Imperia have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Sestri Levante have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Biellese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lascaris(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Alessandria(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fezzanese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Asti(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Celle Varazze(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Borgosesia(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Biellese(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lascaris(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Imperia wins, 0 draws, 4 Sestri Levante wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Sestri Levante 4-0 Imperia | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Imperia 0-5 Sestri Levante | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Imperia 1-3 Sestri Levante | Serie D - Girone A |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Sestri Levante 1-0 Imperia | Serie D - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Sestri Levante vs Imperia on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Imperia score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sestri Levante score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imperia | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Sestri Levante | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Imperia sit 10th in Serie D - Girone A (8 points from 6 matches) and Sestri Levante sit 14th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Imperia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 14 | Sestri Levante | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Imperia vs Sestri Levante?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Imperia vs Sestri Levante?
- The Footlab AI model makes Imperia the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Sestri Levante.
- Where and when is Imperia vs Sestri Levante played?
- Imperia vs Sestri Levante is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nino Ciccione, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.