SG-Tertre-Hautrage vs Ostiches: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - ACFFACFF - 13Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Saint Lo, Saint-Ghislain
The Footlab model makes SG-Tertre-Hautrage the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Ostiches. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SG-Tertre-Hautrage vs Ostiches?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate SG-Tertre-Hautrage (1,918) and Ostiches (1,849).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SG-Tertre-Hautrage have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Ostiches have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stade Mouscronnois(home) | 2-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Diksmuide(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Longlier(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Sporting Bruxelles(away) | 0-1 | Third Amateur Division - ACFF A |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Flénu(home) | 3-0 | Third Amateur Division - ACFF A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aywaille(home) | 1-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Braine(away) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Richelle United(home) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Raeren-Eynatten(away) | 0-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Stade Verviers(home) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 SG-Tertre-Hautrage win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ostiches win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2022 | Ostiches 2-1 SG-Tertre-Hautrage | Third Amateur Division - ACFF A |
| Aug 27, 2022 | SG-Tertre-Hautrage 1-1 Ostiches | Third Amateur Division - ACFF A |
| Jan 30, 2022 | SG-Tertre-Hautrage 0-4 Ostiches | Third Amateur Division - ACFF A |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Ostiches 0-1 SG-Tertre-Hautrage | Third Amateur Division - ACFF A |
Last archived meeting: Ostiches vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage on Dec 11, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
SG-Tertre-Hautrage score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ostiches score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SG-Tertre-Hautrage | 1.3 | 0.7 | 9 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Ostiches | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SG-Tertre-Hautrage sit 4th in Second Amateur Division - ACFF (3 points from 1 matches) and Ostiches sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SG-Tertre-Hautrage | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Ostiches | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SG-Tertre-Hautrage vs Ostiches?
- The Footlab model makes SG-Tertre-Hautrage the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Ostiches.
- Where and when is SG-Tertre-Hautrage vs Ostiches played?
- SG-Tertre-Hautrage vs Ostiches is played on November 15, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Saint Lo, in the Second Amateur Division - ACFF.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.