Shabab Al Sahel vs Tripoli SC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on December 3, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC)Al Ahed Stadium, Bayrūt (Beirut)
The Footlab AI model makes Shabab Al Sahel the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Tripoli SC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Shabab Al Sahel wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,232 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shabab Al Sahel vs Tripoli SC?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Shabab Al Sahel (1,375) and Tripoli SC (1,306).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Shabab Al Sahel vs Tripoli SC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Shabab Al Sahel
Not enough data to predict the Shabab Al Sahel lineup.
Tripoli SC
4-3-3- GGerônimo
- FFoad Eid
- AAlaa Ezo
- SSuleiman Abu Zam'a
- GGhazi Hussien
- MMohammad Al Zahed
- TTaha Hussain
- MMohamad Korhani
- AAbd Al Razaq Dakramanji
- AA. Innocent
- AAhmad Qarhani
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 04:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shabab Al Sahel have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Tripoli SC have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Shabab Al Ghazieh(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Al Ahed(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Jwaaya FC(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Safa(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Tadamon Sour(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Safa(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Al Hikma(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Tadamon Sour(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al Mabarrah(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Al Akhaa Al Ahli(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Shabab Al Sahel wins, 3 draws, 1 Tripoli SC win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2024 | Shabab Al Sahel 0-1 Tripoli SC | Premier League |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Shabab Al Sahel 3-2 Tripoli SC | Premier League |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Tripoli SC 0-1 Shabab Al Sahel | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Tripoli SC 0-0 Shabab Al Sahel | Premier League |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Shabab Al Sahel 0-0 Tripoli SC | Federation Cup |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Tripoli SC 0-0 Shabab Al Sahel | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Shabab Al Sahel vs Tripoli SC on May 17, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Shabab Al Sahel score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tripoli SC score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shabab Al Sahel | 0.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Tripoli SC | 0.9 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shabab Al Sahel sit 9th in Premier League (4 points from 5 matches) and Tripoli SC sit 6th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tripoli SC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 9 | Shabab Al Sahel | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 |
A question about Shabab Al Sahel vs Tripoli SC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shabab Al Sahel vs Tripoli SC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Shabab Al Sahel the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Tripoli SC.
- Where and when is Shabab Al Sahel vs Tripoli SC played?
- Shabab Al Sahel vs Tripoli SC is played on December 3, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC) at Al Ahed Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.