Al Ahed vs Safa: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Al Ahed Stadium, Bayrūt (Beirut)
The Footlab AI model makes Safa the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Al Ahed. The most likely score is 1-1. If Safa wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Ahed vs Safa?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Al Ahed (1,521) and Safa (1,546).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Ahed vs Safa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Ahed
Not enough data to predict the Al Ahed lineup.
Safa
Not enough data to predict the Safa lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Ahed have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Safa have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Al Mabarrah(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Tripoli SC(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jwaaya FC(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Al Nejmeh(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Al Ansar(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Shabab Al Sahel(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Reyady Abaseya(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Al Mabarrah(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Jwaaya FC(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Al Ahed(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Al Ahed wins, 2 draws, 2 Safa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2026 | Al Ahed 4-1 Safa | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Al Ahed 1-2 Safa | Premier League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Safa 0-1 Al Ahed | Premier League |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Al Ahed 1-1 Safa | Premier League |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Al Ahed 1-2 Safa | Premier League |
| May 1, 2025 | Safa 0-0 Al Ahed | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Ahed score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Safa score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahed | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Safa | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Ahed sit 7th in Premier League (1 point from 1 match) and Safa sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Safa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Al Ahed | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
A question about Al Ahed vs Safa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Ahed vs Safa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Safa the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Al Ahed.
- Where and when is Al Ahed vs Safa played?
- Al Ahed vs Safa is played on December 4, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Al Ahed Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.