Al Mabarrah vs Tadamon Sour: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC)Al Mabarrah Stadium, Bayrūt (Beirut)
The Footlab AI model makes Tadamon Sour the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Al Mabarrah. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tadamon Sour wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Mabarrah vs Tadamon Sour?
On Elo ratings, Al Mabarrah has 1,237 points and Tadamon Sour 1,316.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Mabarrah vs Tadamon Sour
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Mabarrah
4-3-3- WWissam Nassar
- AAli Safwan
- AAlaa Baidoon
- SSaid Eskandar
- MMohammad Chaaban
- HHassan Shahrour
- IIsmaeel Fadel
- RRami Ammar
- SSaad Al Din Balhawan
- HHussein Abd Allah
- BBilal Kassab
Tadamon Sour
Not enough data to predict the Tadamon Sour lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 10:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Mabarrah have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Tadamon Sour have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tripoli SC(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Al Ahed(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jwaaya FC(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Safa(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Al Ansar(home) | 0-7 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Al Akhaa Al Ahli(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Al Nejmeh(away) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Shabab Al Sahel(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Reyady Abaseya(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Racing(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Al Mabarrah wins, 2 draws, 2 Tadamon Sour wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2026 | Tadamon Sour 1-1 Al Mabarrah | Premier League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Al Mabarrah 0-3 Tadamon Sour | Premier League |
| Mar 31, 2012 | Tadamon Sour 1-1 Al Mabarrah | Premier League |
| Dec 4, 2011 | Al Mabarrah 0-2 Tadamon Sour | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Tadamon Sour vs Al Mabarrah on Jun 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Mabarrah score 0.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tadamon Sour score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Mabarrah | 0.5 | 2.1 | 5 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Tadamon Sour | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Mabarrah sit 10th in Premier League (0 points from 2 matches) and Tadamon Sour sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tadamon Sour | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 | Al Mabarrah | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
A question about Al Mabarrah vs Tadamon Sour?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Mabarrah vs Tadamon Sour?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tadamon Sour the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Al Mabarrah.
- Where and when is Al Mabarrah vs Tadamon Sour played?
- Al Mabarrah vs Tadamon Sour is played on December 4, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC) at Al Mabarrah Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.