Shahter Taganrog vs Spartak Nalchik: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 27Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Shahter Taganrog the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Spartak Nalchik. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shahter Taganrog vs Spartak Nalchik?
Shahter Taganrog starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,782 vs 1,630).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shahter Taganrog have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Spartak Nalchik have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Izberbash(away) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk(home) | 3-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Druzhba(away) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Astrakhan(home) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pobeda(away) | 3-4 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lugansk(away) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz(home) | 3-3 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rostov II(home) | 0-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kyzyltash(away) | 3-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Shahter Taganrog win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Spartak Nalchik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Spartak Nalchik 0-1 Shahter Taganrog | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Nalchik vs Shahter Taganrog on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shahter Taganrog score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Nalchik score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shahter Taganrog | 2.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Spartak Nalchik | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shahter Taganrog sit 1st in Second League - Group 1 (45 points from 20 matches) and Spartak Nalchik sit 8th (28 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shahter Taganrog | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 45 |
| 8 | Spartak Nalchik | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shahter Taganrog vs Spartak Nalchik?
- The Footlab model makes Shahter Taganrog the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Spartak Nalchik.
- Where and when is Shahter Taganrog vs Spartak Nalchik played?
- Shahter Taganrog vs Spartak Nalchik is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.