Astrakhan vs Kyzyltash: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 27Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion imeni Kolosova, Astrakhan'
The Footlab model makes Astrakhan the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Kyzyltash. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Astrakhan vs Kyzyltash?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Astrakhan (1,660) and Kyzyltash (1,578).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Astrakhan have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Kyzyltash have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rostov II(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sevastopol(away) | 4-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Mashuk-KMV(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Shahter Taganrog(away) | 1-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FK Chayka 2(home) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Druzhba(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dynamo Makhachkala II(home) | 1-4 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Izberbash(away) | 6-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spartak Nalchik(home) | 2-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Angust Nazran(away) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Astrakhan win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kyzyltash win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kyzyltash 3-0 Astrakhan | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Kyzyltash vs Astrakhan on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Astrakhan score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kyzyltash score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astrakhan | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Kyzyltash | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Astrakhan sit 10th in Second League - Group 1 (22 points from 19 matches) and Kyzyltash sit 5th (31 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kyzyltash | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 27 | 31 |
| 10 | Astrakhan | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 28 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Astrakhan vs Kyzyltash?
- The Footlab model makes Astrakhan the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Kyzyltash.
- Where and when is Astrakhan vs Kyzyltash played?
- Astrakhan vs Kyzyltash is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion imeni Kolosova, in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.