FK Chayka 2 vs Angust Nazran: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 27Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Angust Nazran the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for FK Chayka 2. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Chayka 2 vs Angust Nazran?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate FK Chayka 2 (1,549) and Angust Nazran (1,551).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Chayka 2 have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Angust Nazran have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dynamo Makhachkala II(away) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Druzhba(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk(away) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pobeda(home) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Astrakhan(away) | 0-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sevastopol(home) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rostov II(away) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Druzhba(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lugansk(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(away) | 2-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 FK Chayka 2 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Angust Nazran win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Angust Nazran 1-0 FK Chayka 2 | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Angust Nazran vs FK Chayka 2 on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FK Chayka 2 score 0.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Angust Nazran score 0.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Chayka 2 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 2 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| Angust Nazran | 0.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Chayka 2 sit 16th in Second League - Group 1 (11 points from 20 matches) and Angust Nazran sit 14th (16 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Angust Nazran | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 16 |
| 16 | FK Chayka 2 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 43 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Chayka 2 vs Angust Nazran?
- The Footlab model makes Angust Nazran the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for FK Chayka 2.
- Where and when is FK Chayka 2 vs Angust Nazran played?
- FK Chayka 2 vs Angust Nazran is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.