Shamiya vs Yarmouk: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 3Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:35 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Yarmouk the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Shamiya. The most likely score is 0-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shamiya vs Yarmouk?
Yarmouk starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (1,439 vs 1,232).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Shamiya vs Yarmouk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Shamiya
Not enough data to predict the Shamiya lineup.
Yarmouk
Not enough data to predict the Yarmouk lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shamiya have 2 wins, 1 draw and 12 defeats; Yarmouk have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Ittihad Al-Shorta(home) | 0-1 | Division 1 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Khaitan(home) | 0-1 | Division 1 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Burgan(away) | 1-4 | Division 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sporty(home) | 3-4 | Division 1 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Al Sahel(away) | 0-3 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Al Sahel(away) | 3-2 | Division 1 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al Jazira(away) | 0-2 | Division 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al Sulaibikhat(home) | 1-1 | Division 1 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Burgan(home) | 3-1 | Division 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Khaitan(home) | 0-0 | Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Shamiya wins, 0 draws, 3 Yarmouk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Yarmouk 3-0 Shamiya | Division 1 |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Shamiya 1-7 Yarmouk | Division 1 |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Shamiya 0-2 Yarmouk | Division 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Shamiya score 0.8 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Yarmouk score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shamiya | 0.8 | 3.1 | 1 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Yarmouk | 2.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shamiya | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
A question about Shamiya vs Yarmouk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shamiya vs Yarmouk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Yarmouk the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Shamiya.
- Where and when is Shamiya vs Yarmouk played?
- Shamiya vs Yarmouk is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:35 PM (UTC), in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.