Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 32Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Tallaght Stadium, Dublin
The Footlab model makes Shamrock Rovers the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Waterford. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford?
Shamrock Rovers starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,772 vs 1,592).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shamrock Rovers have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Waterford have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | KuPS(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | St Patrick's Athl.(away) | 2-3 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(away) | 1-5 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Dundalk(home) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sligo Rovers(away) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Athlone Town(home) | 2-1 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bohemians(home) | 3-1 | Premier Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Shelbourne(home) | 1-0 | Premier Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Galway United(away) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Shamrock Rovers win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Waterford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 2026 | Waterford 0-2 Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division |
| May 1, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers 1-0 Waterford | Premier Division |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Waterford 1-1 Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Waterford 1-2 Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division |
| Jun 27, 2025 | Shamrock Rovers 1-0 Waterford | Premier Division |
| May 16, 2025 | Waterford 1-3 Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Waterford vs Shamrock Rovers on Jun 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shamrock Rovers score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Waterford score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Waterford | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shamrock Rovers sit 1st in Premier Division (54 points from 27 matches) and Waterford sit 8th (29 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 24 | 54 |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 19 | 43 |
| 8 | Waterford | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 37 | 48 | 29 |
| 10 | Waterford | 21 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 42 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford?
- The Footlab model makes Shamrock Rovers the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Waterford.
- Where and when is Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford played?
- Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford is played on September 18, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Tallaght Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.