Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 32Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Showgrounds, Sligo
The Footlab model makes St Patrick's Athl. the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Sligo Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.?
St Patrick's Athl. starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,750 vs 1,550).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sligo Rovers have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; St Patrick's Athl. have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Waterford(home) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kerry(home) | 4-0 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Derry City(away) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dundalk(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Drogheda United(home) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Drogheda United(away) | 2-0 | Premier Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers(home) | 3-2 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Shelbourne(away) | 2-1 | Premier Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Derry City(home) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Dundalk(home) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sligo Rovers win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 St Patrick's Athl. win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 2026 | St Patrick's Athl. 2-0 Sligo Rovers | Premier Division |
| May 4, 2026 | Sligo Rovers 1-1 St Patrick's Athl. | Premier Division |
| Apr 3, 2026 | St Patrick's Athl. 4-1 Sligo Rovers | Premier Division |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Sligo Rovers 1-0 St Patrick's Athl. | Premier Division |
| Aug 10, 2025 | St Patrick's Athl. 3-0 Sligo Rovers | Premier Division |
| May 30, 2025 | Sligo Rovers 0-1 St Patrick's Athl. | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers on Jun 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sligo Rovers score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; St Patrick's Athl. score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sligo Rovers | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| St Patrick's Athl. | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sligo Rovers sit 10th in Premier Division (23 points from 28 matches) and St Patrick's Athl. sit 2nd (50 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | St Patrick's Athl. | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 23 | 50 |
| 2 | St Patrick's Athl. | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 17 | 38 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 19 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 45 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.?
- The Footlab model makes St Patrick's Athl. the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Sligo Rovers.
- Where and when is Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl. played?
- Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl. is played on September 19, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Showgrounds, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.