Shangyu Pterosaur vs BIT: prediction and stats
League TwoRelegation Group - 27Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ganzhou Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium, Ganzhou
The Footlab AI model makes Shangyu Pterosaur the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for BIT. The most likely score is 1-1. If Shangyu Pterosaur wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shangyu Pterosaur vs BIT?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Shangyu Pterosaur (1,298) and BIT (1,313).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Shangyu Pterosaur vs BIT
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Shangyu Pterosaur
5-4-1- 9Zhao Yi
- 58Yu Keli
- 11Yu Haozhen
- 42Zhang Zijun
- 8Hu Haoyue
- 19Jin Jian
- 28Shao Shuai
- 18Guo Fuxin
- 3Wang Duolin
- 15Liu Guanjun
- 14Han Zhen
BIT
4-4-2- 41Wang Zihao
- 21Wang Chenyang
- 18Wei Jiaao
- 16Bai Jiong
- 2Liu Tianyang
- 39Zheng Zehao
- 45Deng Jiajun
- 25K. Yu
- 15M. Longjian
- 43Hu Runchao
- 24Su Jiawei
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shangyu Pterosaur have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; BIT have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nantong Haimen Codion(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Tai'an Tiankuang(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Qingdao Red Lions(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | BIT(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wuhan Three Towns II(away) | 0-4 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Wuhan Three Towns II(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Chengdu Rongcheng II(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Xiamen Feilu(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Shangyu Pterosaur(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dalian Yingbo B(away) | 4-3 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Shangyu Pterosaur wins, 1 draw, 2 BIT wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | BIT 1-0 Shangyu Pterosaur | League Two |
| Oct 18, 2025 | BIT 3-0 Shangyu Pterosaur | League Two |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Shangyu Pterosaur 1-0 BIT | League Two |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Shangyu Pterosaur 3-3 BIT | League Two |
| Sep 15, 2024 | BIT 0-1 Shangyu Pterosaur | League Two |
Last archived meeting: BIT vs Shangyu Pterosaur on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shangyu Pterosaur score 0.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; BIT score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shangyu Pterosaur | 0.8 | 2.0 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| BIT | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shangyu Pterosaur sit 6th in League Two (33 points from 30 matches) and BIT sit 4th (35 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | BIT | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 39 | 36 | 35 |
| 6 | Shangyu Pterosaur | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 24 | 37 | 33 |
A question about Shangyu Pterosaur vs BIT?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shangyu Pterosaur vs BIT?
- The Footlab AI model makes Shangyu Pterosaur the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for BIT.
- Where and when is Shangyu Pterosaur vs BIT played?
- Shangyu Pterosaur vs BIT is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ganzhou Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Rizhao YuqivsGuangzhou Dandelion
- Oct 17, 2026Shanghai SecondvsGuangdong Mingtu
- Oct 17, 2026Wuhan Three Towns IIvsTai'an Tiankuang
- Oct 18, 2026Changchun XiduvsHubei Chufeng Heli
- Oct 18, 2026Dalian Yingbo BvsYichun Grand Tiger
- Oct 18, 2026Xiamen FeiluvsQingdao Red Lions
- Oct 18, 2026Chengdu Rongcheng IIvsNantong Haimen Codion