Shatin vs Lucky Mile: result 4-0 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 2Kick-off on January 19, 2014 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Ma On Shan Recreation Ground, Hong Kong
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What was the result of Shatin vs Lucky Mile?
Shatin won 4-0 on January 19, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shatin have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Lucky Mile have 2, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2013 | Wanchai(away) | 3-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 24, 2013 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 1-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 10, 2013 | Kwai Tsing(away) | 0-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 3, 2013 | Double Flower(home) | 2-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 27, 2013 | Wong Tai Sin(away) | 1-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2013 | Wofoo Tai Po(away) | 0-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 24, 2013 | Resources Capital(home) | 1-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 10, 2013 | Double Flower(home) | 0-5 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 2, 2013 | Hong Kong FC(away) | 0-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 27, 2013 | Wing Yee(home) | 1-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Shatin score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lucky Mile score 0.6 and concede 2.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shatin | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Lucky Mile | 0.6 | 2.2 | 2 | 3/10 | 6/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shatin sit 8th in HKFA 1st Division (19 points from 13 matches) and Lucky Mile sit 13th (3 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shatin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
| 13 | Lucky Mile | 13 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 58 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy